This report by Brookings examines the way automation and other forms of IT have affected the steady decline in the fraction of the population working in middle-waged jobs.
In the last four decades, the US and other industrialized economies have experienced a pronounced decline in the fraction of the population who work in middle-waged jobs. Since employment growth has been weighted toward the upper- and lower tails of the wage distribution, this phenomenon has become known as job polarization. Important literature demonstrates that this change has meant the loss of job opportunities in certain types of occupations—those that are routine in nature, for which the tasks performed on the job follow a well-defined linear structure or procedural routine. The fact that such occupational tasks are easily automated has led researchers to study the role of recent advances in “automation technologies” in this disappearance of middle-skilled jobs. In this paper, we review the literature regarding polarization and the changing nature of work in the US economy and discuss its implications for the middle-class.
The suggested leading hypothesis on this is that technological advancement lies behind this phenomenon in the decline of middle-waged work as well as “globalisation forces” being behind the labour market changes which affect middle-skilled opportunities and transitions.